M.Phil degree or equivalent degree awarded after 18 years of education in the field with no 3rddivision in the academic career from an HEC recognized University / Institution. Fulfill the following TORs
Develop a sectoral model for Pakistan to estimate the aggregate economic impact avian Influenza virus (AIV) infections on the commercial broiler and layer sectors. The model should consider the following:
Economic impact of the disease on producers with explicit use of the production models (partial budget models)
Different types of production systems.
Prevalence of H9N2 AIV in these production systems
Control mechanisms in place to mitigate AIV (as part of the overall economic impact)
Impact on supply for the different chains
Estimate prices changes by the changes in supply (and its impact on consumer demand) Gather data to parameterize the model, Run the model using different scenarios / assumptions for AIV prevalence, vaccination uptake and effectiveness.
Produce a report summarizing the model and its outputs
Compile datasets and models for use by other people (i.e. with the relevant descriptions, metadata)
Draft manuscript for publication.